Service Plays Saturday 01/31/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim..

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Soccer expert for Saturday

Spain premier league:
Real Madrid to win

German league:
Hertha BSC to win

Parley:
Real Madrid to win
Hertha BSC to win
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Confidential Tip-Off (CTO)

SATURDAY

*MISSOURI over Baylor (Day Game)...Big XII scouts tell us revitalized contender Mizzou (just 1 game back thru Jan. 27) out to settle a score
after squandering 13-point lead in 2nd H of 100-89 setback in Waco late LY. Frenetic-paced Baylor plays right into hands of explosive, unselfish, pressing Tigers (84 ppg; 19 apg, 11 spg), who’re primed to make it 15 straight wins in Columbia (avg. 25-pt. victory TY!). After all, 3-point lovin’ Bears (attempt 24 treys pg), who‘ve already endured two DD road losses in league play, afforded few open looks vs. Mizzou’s stifling perimeter D (league-best 29% from arc). And deep Tiger bench, featuring frosh gem G Denmon (12 ppg last 3), helps extend margin.

*MISSOURI 94 - Baylor 77 RATING - 10


*OREGON STATE over Oregon...Maybe OSU HC Craig Robinson doesn’t have to bother to ask brother-in-law Barack Obama about any federal bailout assistance for Beaver hoopsters, who completed first road sweep of Bay Area schools in 16 years last week. And there’s not much comparison in respective chemistries of these old rivals, especially with Oregon continuing to deteriorate. OSU’s sticky 1-3-1 zone well-designed to flummox undisciplined Duck gunners, while percolating soph G Haynes and versatile 6-11 frontliner Schaftenaar (who can float to perimeter) proving nice fits for Robinson’s Princeton-style attack.

*OREGON STATE 73 - Oregon 58 RATING - 11

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS MEMO

TIM TRUSHEL

OKLAHOMA STATE AT TEXAS A&M (1/31)
Recommendation: Texas A&M
It could be argued that the Aggies have faced the most difficult conference schedule of any Big XII team. At 1-4 the results have been disappointing but perhaps not unexpected. They have played two home games, splitting with a win over Baylor and a hard fought six-point loss to Oklahoma. One the road they are 0-3 with losses at Texas, Kansas and Oklahoma State. In essence their conference schedule has featured five of the six top teams in the conference. This week, with some home cooking, they should get a chance to post a couple of wins. Mid-week they host Texas Tech and with a projected win they should come in confident. As an added bonus, based on the numbers, we expect A&M to be installed as a slight home underdog. Oklahoma State will enter this game off a contest against their rival Oklahoma. Off either a win or a loss, we would expect the focus to be less than 100% on the road against an opponent they have already beaten. On the other side of the equation, there will be plenty of motivation as Josh Carter, the Aggies’ leading scorer, was held scoreless in the first meeting. The Aggies will improve upon the 4-of-17 from three point range and with all else being equal, they should have more than enough to earn the win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS MEMO

ED CASH
WASHINGTON AT ARIZONA STATE (1/31)
Recommendation: Arizona State
Lorenzo Romar’s Washington Huskies begin the week atop the league standings at 6-1; one game up on Arizona State, Cal and UCLA. But while the Huskies currently serve as the team to beat in the PAC-10 after sweeping both LA schools, a win against Arizona on Thursday will provide us with a tremendous play on the home team, Arizona State. Washington has done most of its damage at home this season,
with road wins coming against Oregon, Oregon State and Washington
State -- all of which have losing league records. Arizona State has achieved its 5-2 conference mark largely on the road. They have played just two home games against the Oregon schools, both easy wins, while going 3-2 on the road against Cal, Stanford, Arizona, USC and UCLA. I expect the Sun Devils to be able to handle Washington with ease, especially if the Huskies beat a slumping Arizona team on Thursday. Even with a loss, Arizona State should be a solid play as they are the better team and have a tremendous home court edge.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS MEMO

MARTY OTTO
NEW MEXICO AT UTAH (1/31)
Recommendation: Utah
Home teams have ruled the roost in the Mountain West Conference, routinely winning SU and covering spreads. The Utah Utes have been doing it in impressive fashion at home going 6-1 SU thus far while winning by an average margin of 16 ppg. They beat a very good Gonzaga club as an underdog and blew out LSU by 30. The Utes will be in a position to potentially sit atop the conference standings if they knock off both BYU and New Mexico this week. The fundamental edges start on the front line where New Mexico simply doesn’t have an answer for 7-2 center Luke Nevill. Nevill is second in scoring and first in rebounding in the MWC. He provides the Utes with a player teams like New Mexico just can’t match up against. He is aided on the glass by Shaun Green and Carlon Brown who both rank in the top 10 in the MWC in rebounding. Look for Utah to control the glass (+9.5 rebound margin, 1st MWC), a real key in what figures to be an intense defensive contest. With the lead we can then watch Utah salt away the victory with the league’s top free throw percentage, helping secure what should be a nice win and cover.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS MEMO

HELMUT SPORTS
NEBRASKA AT TEXAS TECH (1/31)
Recommendation: Under
The Red Raiders are still playing very up-tempo this season ranking No. 13 in the nation in pace/tempo. The Huskers are the slowest paced team in the Big XII and have a knack for slowing down these fast paced teams, as games against up-tempo conference opponents, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Oklahoma and Missouri, all played under 135 total possessions. The Huskers have been very good on defense this season holding opponents to 41.5% from the field and an average of 57.8 ppg. They have an excellent defensive efficiency (90.0, 19th in nation) not only due to the FG% defense but because they are quite good at causing turnovers nearly 18 per game. The Red Raiders have been playing poorly on offense. In their last eight games they have shot 42.3% from the field, averaged 67.6 ppg and turned it over nearly 18 times per game. The Huskers’ offense has taken a dip since the beginning of conference play as they have only shot 40.4% from the field and have also played poorly on the road, shooting just 37.8% in five games. Although the Red Raiders’ defense is not great the Huskers have shown no ability to score on the road and have not done well on offense since the end of the non-conference schedule.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS MEMO

DONNIE BLACK
UAB AT MARSHALL (1/31)
Recommendation: Marshall
Despite a slew of suspensions, ineligible players and a depleted bench, UAB has managed to persevere while currently residing in the upper-half of the C-USA standings at 3-2. But while the remaining roster has been able to keep the ship afloat, the Blazers could be in for a wake-up call starting Wednesday. After playing three straight at home, UAB travels to a tough Tulsa venue before making the trek to Huntington on Saturday to face Marshall. The Thundering Herd are your typical mediocre C-USA unit who struggle on the road but hold enough of a home court advantage to be considered playable. On the season, Marshall is 8-1 at home with a lone loss to 14-5 East Tennessee State. A concern with Marshall is lack of size with its tallest contributing player checking in at 6-8. However, UAB isn’t overwhelming in the front court and has actually been outrebounded on the season which should help our cause. In looking at the last two years of the series, Marshall lost at UAB by 13 and 19 but emerged victorious at home – both times as a small underdog. We expect the Herd to be catching points once again this weekend as UAB and its thin roster play the second of back-to-back road games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS MEMO

BRENT CROW
GEORGETOWN AT MARQUETTE (1/31)
Recommendation: Marquette
The Hoyas have dropped three in a row entering this week’s games at Cincinnati and Marquette. They are just 2-5 SU since beating UConn to open Big East play and the general feeling is that this is who the Hoyas are rather than a team going through a mid-season funk. Georgetown struggles from the outside and has not executed the Princeton offense as well as years past. The Hoyas also lack depth, with center Greg Monroe receiving little help from a bench that has just one player averaging more than 5 ppg. Teams seem to be figuring out how to defend the Hoyas as well, with minimal efforts of 58 against West Virginia and 60 at Seton Hall in their last two losses. They will definitely have to score plenty to keep pace with Marquette and its outstanding three-guard attack. The Eagles average 81.5 ppg and are unbeaten on their home court this season.
Guards Wesley Matthews and Jerel McNeal are both having tremendous seasons, averaging 19.2 and 18.9 ppg, respectively. Lazar Hayward has also emerged this season, notching 16.5 ppg and 8.8 rpg to give Marquette another solid weapon. Look for them to hand the Hoyas another loss on Saturday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS MEMO

ROB VENO
NEW ORLEANS AT SAN ANTONIO (1/31)
Recommendation: Under
Head coach Gregg Popovich’s recent outburst on the lack of defense being played by his Spurs is becoming a sentiment echoed by his players. Sixth-man Manu Ginoboli expressed similar concerns after a 14-point loss to the Lakers. With the entire Spurs team expected to be on the same page and determined to improve their defense, the erratic offense of New Orleans will likely have trouble posting a substantial point total. The Hornets’ 96.3 ppg ranks 24th in the league and they’ll be challenged by the focused Spurs’ defense for the full 48 minutes. However, the New Orleans defense has been a constant all season long as they’ve thoroughly committed themselves on that end of the floor, ranking third in the league while allowing just 93.1 ppg. The defensive intensityand methodical offensive possessions figure to be at a playoff-type peak here between these divisional rivals who sit first and second in the Southwest, separated by just 1.5 games. The last meeting back on December 17 saw just 173 points scored and I look for more of the same here in the rematch where the total should open in the 188-189 range.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

POINTWISE

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES

WESTERN MICHIGAN over Kent St (Sat) RATING: 1
LSU over Arkansas (Sat) RATING: 1
AUBURN over Vanderbilt (Sat) RATING: 4
ST BONAVENTURE over Duquesne (Sat) RATING: 5


NBA
BASKETBALL

SATURDAY, JANUARY 31 SCORE
(7:05) New York Knicks 102 - INDIANA PACERS 101
(7:05) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 96 - New Jersey Nets 91
(7:35) MIAMI HEAT 107 - Dallas Mavericks 105
(8:05) WASHINGTON WIZARDS 98 - LA Clippers 93
(8:05) LA Lakers 109 - MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 99
(8:35) SAN ANTONIO SPURS 106 - New Orleans 97
(8:35) HOUSTON ROCKETS 104 - Golden State 99
(8:35) Atlanta Hawks 97 - MILWAUKEE BUCKS 91
(9:05) Chicago Bulls 113 - PHOENIX SUNS 109
(10:05) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS 109 - Utah Jazz 96

BEST BETS: NEW YORK (4), SAN ANTONIO, ATLANTA

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull

Soccer:

Wolverhampton Wanderers/Watford over 2.5 (English Championship)

Numancia/Real Madrid over 2.5 (Spain La Liga)

Borussia Dortmund/Bayer Leverkusen over 2.5 (German Bundesliga)

FC Koln/VfL Wolfsburg over 2.5 (German Bundesliga)

Ajax Amsterdam/Heerenveen over 2.5 (Dutch Eredivisie)

 

[SteveMcQueen]

ATS Sports Club
January 31, 2009

Soccer Back of the Net Winners:

Match #1
English League 1
MK Dons vs. Cheltenham Town over 2.5

Match #2
German Bundesliga
TSG Hoffenheim vs. Energie Cottbus over 2.5


They have 2 more picks, anyone wanna get those?

 

[jagwood]

Jake Timlin
Saturday's Action



1500♦ Wake Forest Demon Deacons



Even laying points on the road I like Wake Forest as there is not much hope for Georgia Tech today. Not when the Yellow Jackets have only covered once in their last 10 games and still sit winless in league play at 0-6, including their 0-3 SU/ATS record in home league games. One particular home loss that stands out is the Yellow Jackets 14 point loss to Duke who just loss at Wake Forest by 2 points in a game the Demon Deacons dominated most of the way. Even worst news for Tech will be the fact that Wake Forest will be looking to exact revenge after losing their last four times to Tech in Atlanta. Meanwhile, for Wake Forest they are not only good, but there are red hot thanks to their 17-1 straight up record on the season where they have won by an average of 17 points per game. Plus, for the Demon Deacons they are perfect on the highway this season at 5-0 straight up, including a pair of double digit road wins in league play with wins at Boston College and Clemson. Flat out unless Wake Forest has a major let down they will win by at least 15 points against the worst team in the league due to the huge gap in talent between the two teams. Well don’t expect any kind of let down from the Demon Deacons today as their talent alone will carry them to an easy win.



Lay the points.



500♦ Utah Utes



Bonus action I like the Utes minus the small chalk as they continue to dominate at home. The same Utah team that has come alive at home by winning their last six games at home with key wins over BYU, LSU, Wyoming and Gonzaga outright to name a few. Well enter the Lobos today and the Utes 7th straight home victim as Utah host a weak traveling New Mexico team that has lost 4 of 7 games away from the PIT including setbacks at UNLV, SDSU and Texas Tech. Well if you ask me Utah is a much tougher place to play then the previous mentioned stops for the Lobos. So behind the talented from line of Utah I look for the much small Lobos to struggle in the Beehive State as the Utes run away late for the cover win at home. All Utah minus the small home chalk!

 

[willwin]

Dave Cokin

(535) MISSISSIPPI vs (536) MISSISSIPPI STATE
Take (536) MISSISSIPPI STATE
SEC GAME OF THE YEAR! Home cookin' has been big in this SEC rivalry, with the host winning and covering each of the last six meetings. Mississippi State has been especially dominant when entertaining the Rebels. I figured to be on the Bulldogs in this game to begin with, but the selection became much stronger off the Ole Miss shocker vs. Kentucky. That was a monster national TV win for a team that's had all kinds of injury issues, along with the well publicized off the court issues for their coach. I doubt the beleaguered Rebels can summon up another big effort here and I like Mississippi State to score the blowout win today.


(549) MIAMI OHIO vs (550) EASTERN MICHIGAN
Take (549) MIAMI OHIO
MISMATCH OF THE YEAR! I can't see anything other than a lopsided Miami win here. The RedHawks are always tenacious on defense and Eastern Michigan is one of the least efficient offensive teams in the country. Miami has no problem playing on the road and they've already had some blowout victories on enemy floors this season. Miami has also thoroughly dominated this opponent at this site, covering each of their last seven visits to EMU. Finally, the hapless Eagles just suspended one of their better players for the rest of the season. This has all the earmarks of a 20-25 point crush job, and I'm laying the number with Miami.


(641) WRIGHT STATE vs (642) CLEVELAND STATE
Take (641) WRIGHT STATE
HORIZON GAME OF THE YEAR! Wright State was my pre-season pick to win the Horizon. That looks dicey as Butler has once again emerged as the class of the league, but the Raiders are definitely the best of the rest in my view. They overcame the loss of their best player without missing a beat and Wright State has been an absolute monster under Brad Brownell as underdogs. The number here is inflated due to Cleveland State having the revenge motive. There's no question the Vikings will be fired up for this and they do have a substantial home court edge. But I rate this game as very much a tossup and there's no way I can resist taking what looks like an overly generous number with Wright State.



BOL.......to all you guys this weekend!

 

[chase88]

JEFFERSON-SPORTS EARLY RELEASE 4-0 yesterday

Hit 8 of last 9 NBA plays
41-28 (60%) since being documented in gamercharities thread
cbb 111-81 (58%) +30 games over .500
NFL 58-30 NFL (66%) 8-3 in playoffs

NBA
UTAH JAZZ+9

more at 830am pac tomorrow

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Columbia (-2) Friday night.

Saturday it's UConn. The profit is 60 sirignanos.

 

[jrgold1124]

anyone get ATS GOY????

 

[mark3]

is ats still mired in that slump?

 

[iceman33]

can anyone get the bookie basher he has won 16 weeks in a row and 44 out of 52. Thanks